Alfacar UD vs Vandalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
2 - 1
ALF
64%
19%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 3
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
ALF
74%
16%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALF
3 - 1
CIU
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 1
CDD
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vandalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
4 - 1
PUR
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 5
VAN
7%
15%
78%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
ALF
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDD
0 - 5
VAN
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
CEL
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |