Alfacar UD vs Puerto de Motril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 7
ALF
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ALF
4 - 2
ALO
50%
20%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
OTU
2 - 3
ALF
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALF
3 - 1
ZUB
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDV
3 - 2
ALF
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto de Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CAZ
5 - 1
PMO
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
PMO
2 - 0
CAZ
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CHU
2 - 0
PMO
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PMO
1 - 0
SAN
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
PMO
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |