Alfacar UD vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CFV
0 - 1
ALF
55%
19%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 1
UDM
43%
21%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GAB
1 - 2
ALF
20%
19%
62%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
PUR
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
ALF
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDD
67%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 2
GUA
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
CFC
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CUL
0 - 2
GUA
61%
19%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |