Alfacar UD vs Gabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PUR
1 - 2
ALF
24%
22%
54%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 0
SAL
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PMO
2 - 0
ALF
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
ALF
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAN
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GAB
3 - 0
CDD
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 0
GAB
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
GAB
0 - 3
CUL
45%
22%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
GAB
63%
19%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAB
1 - 0
GUA
52%
21%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |