Alfacar Atletico vs Puerto de Motril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfacar Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
GAB
2 - 3
ALF
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ALF
1 - 1
CHU
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 4
CUL
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PMO
4 - 3
ALF
38%
22%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 0
GAB
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto de Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
PMO
1 - 1
MON
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PUR
1 - 1
PMO
29%
22%
50%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
COL
6 - 1
PMO
47%
22%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PMO
4 - 3
ALF
38%
22%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
PMO
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |