Alexandria vs Petrolul Potcoava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
1º
1º
6
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 37 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 36 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 33 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 31 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 26 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 19 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 19 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 17 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 17 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 15 |
10º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
95% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alexandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
VCO
0 - 0
ALE
14%
24%
62%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 1
PSB
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
5 - 0
ARG
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SRO
0 - 2
ALE
19%
25%
57%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 0
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolul Potcoava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CSO
6 - 1
SRO
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
CSO
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CSO
2 - 3
CSD
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
CSO
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CSO
0 - 0
ACS
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |