Alexandria Reds vs Virginia Dream analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alexandria Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ALR
11 - 1
GLR
86%
10%
5%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
VIR
0 - 3
ALR
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ALR
5 - 0
FRE
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ALR
1 - 1
GSU
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ABL
2 - 2
ALR
18%
19%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Virginia Dream
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VRD
3 - 0
FRE
47%
21%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
DMV
1 - 6
VRD
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
GSU
5 - 0
VRD
57%
20%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GLR
1 - 8
VRD
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
VRD
7 - 0
VIR
24%
21%
55%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |