Alertanavia CP vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
67.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+264%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alertanavia CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 0
ALE
70%
17%
13%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 2
POR
15%
18%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PON
3 - 0
ALE
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
CAM
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 2
CDV
13%
19%
68%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
PON
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAM
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
ANT
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MOA
1 - 1
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |