Alemannia Waldalgesheim vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
79.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
AWA
0 - 1
SAA
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ROB
2 - 3
AWA
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AWA
1 - 1
SAL
27%
25%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AWA
0 - 2
GON
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
2 - 0
AWA
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
LEV
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
WUP
1 - 3
LEV
6%
16%
78%
|
88 | 36 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 2
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AAA
1 - 1
LEV
7%
16%
77%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
LEV
3 - 1
LOK
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |