Alemannia Aachen vs Westfalia Herne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
KÖL
1 - 1
AAA
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 0
LEV
64%
21%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
WOL
1 - 1
AAA
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
AAA
0 - 1
ARB
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
SKW
0 - 2
AAA
14%
21%
66%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
WHE
1 - 1
SWE
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
OSN
4 - 2
WHE
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1976 |
WHE
3 - 1
BSC
82%
13%
4%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
ISC
1 - 1
WHE
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1976 |
KÖL
4 - 1
WHE
79%
12%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |