Alemannia Aachen vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
BAY
0 - 2
AAA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
S04
2 - 0
AAA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
FRE
1 - 1
AAA
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 1
SAA
75%
14%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
SCF
2 - 0
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
KFC
2 - 1
SCF
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
SCF
1 - 1
SVS
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
ROT
0 - 2
SCF
72%
16%
11%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
SCF
0 - 0
HES
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |