Alemannia Aachen vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
OSN
1 - 1
AAA
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
AAA
2 - 2
USO
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
ULM
4 - 0
AAA
32%
28%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
VFR
1 - 2
AAA
16%
20%
64%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
AAA
2 - 1
ROT
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
SAA
2 - 2
BAY
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
SCF
1 - 1
SAA
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
OSN
1 - 2
SAA
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1987 |
PFO
3 - 2
SAA
22%
20%
58%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
SAA
3 - 2
USO
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |