DFB Pokal 1/64
Global 2-1
Alemannia Aachen vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
AAA
3 - 2
USO
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SAA
0 - 0
AAA
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1981 |
OSN
1 - 0
AAA
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 0
MUN
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
OFC
1 - 0
AAA
73%
16%
10%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SAA
0 - 0
AAA
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
SAA
2 - 0
BNE
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
EIN
0 - 1
SAA
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1981 |
SAA
1 - 0
EPP
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
AUG
0 - 0
SAA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |