DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 2-3
Alemannia Aachen vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
F95
3 - 0
AAA
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1987 |
PRE
2 - 2
AAA
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
0 - 3
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
AAA
0 - 2
OFC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1987 |
PRE
2 - 2
AAA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ROT
0 - 2
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
PRE
1 - 1
ROT
33%
25%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BNE
1 - 0
PRE
46%
24%
31%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
HOL
3 - 1
PRE
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |