DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 4-0
Alemannia Aachen vs SV Phönix 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
81%
11%
7%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
AAA
2 - 2
RTV
43%
24%
34%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
BVB
5 - 2
AAA
80%
12%
8%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1954 |
AAA
4 - 3
S04
70%
16%
13%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
PHO
0 - 0
AAA
57%
20%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SV Phönix 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
EBK
1 - 2
PHO
60%
20%
21%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
PHO
1 - 0
BNE
72%
16%
13%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
EIN
3 - 2
PHO
64%
19%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1954 |
PHO
1 - 0
FVS
80%
12%
8%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
PHO
0 - 0
AAA
57%
20%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |