Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
SVS
0 - 3
AAA
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
KSC
0 - 2
AAA
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
AAA
4 - 1
REU
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
WAL
3 - 0
AAA
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2000 |
AAA
2 - 2
SGF
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
MSV
0 - 0
M05
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
FCT
0 - 3
MSV
7%
16%
78%
|
78 | 12 | 66 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
ROT
1 - 0
MSV
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 2
ULM
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 1
HSV
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |