Alemannia Aachen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
AAA
1 - 0
OSN
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
AAA
4 - 1
MSV
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
HOM
0 - 2
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
AAA
1 - 1
DAR
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
VIK
2 - 1
MSV
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
AAA
4 - 1
MSV
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
DAR
4 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
MSV
1 - 1
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
KSC
2 - 0
MSV
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |