Alemannia Aachen vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
WWO
0 - 0
AAA
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
AAA
3 - 2
HAN
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 1
SCF
66%
18%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
BAY
0 - 2
AAA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
AAA
2 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
SGF
2 - 1
FRE
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
USO
1 - 0
SGF
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
SGF
3 - 1
OSN
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
MUN
3 - 1
SGF
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
SGF
1 - 1
OFC
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |