Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
AAA
3 - 0
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
ARB
1 - 2
AAA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
AAA
3 - 0
EGE
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
VIK
1 - 3
AAA
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
AAA
1 - 1
KFC
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
KÖL
4 - 0
BAR
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
OFC
4 - 0
KÖL
73%
16%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 0
HSV
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
RTV
2 - 0
KÖL
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
KÖL
1 - 0
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |