DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 5-3
Alemannia Aachen vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ERK
1 - 1
AAA
61%
20%
20%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
AAA
5 - 2
MSV
53%
20%
27%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
KOL
3 - 1
AAA
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1952 |
AAA
4 - 1
SWE
76%
13%
10%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1952 |
LEV
2 - 1
AAA
81%
12%
8%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
VIK
5 - 4
FCN
52%
22%
26%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
FCN
2 - 0
WAL
72%
16%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
BYM
0 - 0
FCN
51%
23%
27%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1952 |
FCN
2 - 2
SGF
66%
18%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1952 |
AUG
1 - 0
FCN
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |