Alemannia Aachen vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 3
AAA
9%
17%
74%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HSV
4 - 0
AAA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 2
WOL
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
EIN
4 - 0
AAA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 4
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
GER
0 - 3
CZJ
18%
21%
61%
|
62 | 23 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AUG
1 - 2
CZJ
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CZJ
1 - 1
KAI
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
WAC
1 - 1
CZJ
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
CZJ
3 - 3
MSV
30%
26%
43%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |