Alemannia Aachen vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
WAT
3 - 2
AAA
69%
18%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
AAA
3 - 1
PAD
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
RWA
1 - 1
AAA
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1996 |
AAA
2 - 1
GET
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1996 |
WUP
1 - 1
AAA
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
ERK
0 - 1
FCR
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ELV
2 - 2
ERK
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
ERK
2 - 0
FCB
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
EIN
1 - 1
ERK
42%
28%
30%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
WAT
3 - 1
ERK
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |