Alemannia Aachen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
OSC
2 - 1
AAA
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
AAA
3 - 0
KÖL
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
WUP
3 - 0
AAA
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAT
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1977 |
ARB
2 - 0
AAA
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1977 |
LEV
7 - 0
KFC
40%
28%
31%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 5
WHE
49%
23%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
FCB
2 - 1
LEV
29%
22%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1977 |
LEV
1 - 2
ROT
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
AHA
1 - 1
LEV
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |