Alemannia Aachen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
ERK
1 - 1
AAA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
AAA
0 - 0
HAU
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
VIK
0 - 5
AAA
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
VER
3 - 0
AAA
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
AAA
3 - 2
WUP
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
ARB
2 - 1
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
WUP
2 - 0
ARB
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
ARB
0 - 1
SAL
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -3 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
FCB
0 - 0
ARB
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
ARB
1 - 1
PRE
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |