Alemannia Aachen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
WHE
0 - 1
AAA
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 1
SWE
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
HAN
1 - 1
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 0
PRE
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
USO
3 - 0
AAA
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
ARB
3 - 1
KFC
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
FCB
5 - 0
ARB
27%
27%
47%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
ARB
2 - 2
ROT
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
AHA
0 - 0
ARB
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
ARB
4 - 0
RWL
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |