Alemannia Aachen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
SKW
0 - 2
AAA
14%
21%
66%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
AAA
5 - 0
WHE
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
SWE
2 - 0
AAA
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 1
LEV
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1976 |
STP
1 - 1
AAA
79%
15%
7%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
ARB
6 - 2
FCP
71%
16%
13%
|
63 | 19 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
FCM
5 - 1
ARB
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
ARB
3 - 1
WUP
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
TEN
2 - 0
ARB
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
OSN
2 - 0
ARB
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |