Alemannia Aachen vs 1. FC Mülheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
WUP
2 - 2
AAA
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
AAA
1 - 0
TEN
24%
24%
51%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
WAB
2 - 0
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 1
OSN
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 0
AAA
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Mülheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
FCM
0 - 4
ISC
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
FCM
0 - 0
WUP
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
TEN
5 - 0
FCM
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
FCM
2 - 0
WAB
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
OSN
3 - 0
FCM
86%
11%
4%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |