Alemannia Aachen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
FHH
1 - 5
AAA
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UNT
0 - 2
AAA
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
AAA
4 - 0
KSC
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 2
AAA
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
AAA
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
0 - 1
KOL
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 0
EIN
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SAA
1 - 4
KOL
21%
23%
56%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
WAC
4 - 2
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
KOL
0 - 0
COT
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |