Alemannia Aachen U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
40.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
11º
7º
30
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alemannia Aachen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DUI
0 - 2
ALA
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 0
SCP
29%
22%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
ALA
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
BOR
9%
13%
78%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 5
ALA
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIK
58%
21%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WUP
0 - 3
FOR
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 3
FOR
49%
22%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
DUI
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 3
SCH
20%
21%
58%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |