Germany U17 vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
GER
3 - 0
UKR
82%
12%
5%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GER
3 - 0
SVK
76%
16%
9%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
GER
25%
24%
52%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
SCO
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
SVK
0 - 2
ITA
23%
23%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
UKR
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
ISL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
MDA
0 - 3
ITA
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | +1 |