UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Germany U21 vs URSS U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 1
GER
28%
30%
42%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1990 |
FRA
0 - 1
GER
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1989 |
CMR
1 - 1
GER
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1989 |
CMR
0 - 1
GER
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
GER
1 - 1
ISL
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
URSS U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 1
GER
28%
30%
42%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
SUN
2 - 0
TUR
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
DDR
3 - 2
SUN
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1989 |
AUT
0 - 2
SUN
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +2 |
| 09 May. 1989 |
TUR
0 - 3
SUN
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | +3 |