Germany U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2004 |
GER
2 - 1
SUI
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
GRC
2 - 1
GER
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
GER
2 - 2
GEO
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
TUR
1 - 1
GER
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
4 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
SWE
0 - 2
CRO
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
SWE
74%
16%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
SWE
2 - 0
ESP
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |