Germany U21 vs Serbia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
GER
3 - 1
DEN
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
ENG
1 - 2
GER
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
GER
2 - 2
FRA
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 2
GER
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
GER
3 - 0
NED
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
SRB
0 - 2
AUT
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
POL
0 - 2
SRB
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
SRB
1 - 0
MKD
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
MNE
1 - 0
SRB
9%
15%
77%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SRB
0 - 0
ARM
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |