Germany U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
GER
1 - 2
SWE
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
GER
2 - 1
SUI
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
GRC
2 - 1
GER
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
GER
2 - 2
GEO
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
SUI
2 - 2
POR
29%
24%
48%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 3
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
FRA
1 - 2
POR
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
POR
1 - 2
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |