Germany U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
CZE
1 - 1
DEU
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ISL
4 - 1
DEU
14%
21%
66%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
DEU
2 - 2
ISL
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 11
DEU
11%
17%
72%
|
77 | 22 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 1
DEU
12%
18%
71%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
NIR
4 - 0
SMR
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
SMR
0 - 3
NIR
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 2
CZE
19%
22%
58%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 1
DEU
12%
18%
71%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
2 - 1
NIR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |