Germany U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
MDA
1 - 0
GER
10%
18%
71%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2008 |
GER
4 - 0
DEN
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
GER
4 - 0
UKR
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
GER
6 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 20 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
GER
2 - 1
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
UKR
4 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
NIR
1 - 3
ROU
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ISR
2 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
3 - 0
MDA
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
5 - 0
LUX
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |