UEFA EC U21 Final
Global 4-5
Germany U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1982 |
ENG
3 - 1
GER
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1982 |
GER
5 - 0
SUN
89%
8%
4%
|
64 | 17 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 4
GER
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 17 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
GER
2 - 0
ESP
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1982 |
DEN
1 - 4
ENG
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1982 |
ENG
3 - 1
GER
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -3 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | +5 |
| 19 Apr. 1982 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
86%
10%
5%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 1982 |
ENG
2 - 2
POL
33%
26%
42%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |