Germany U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
GER
1 - 1
ENG
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
GER
2 - 0
AZE
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
POL
1 - 3
GER
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 2
GER
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 4
GER
12%
18%
70%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
POL
3 - 2
WAL
79%
14%
8%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
WAL
0 - 4
ENG
14%
20%
65%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
WAL
3 - 1
MLT
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
AUT
2 - 0
WAL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
WAL
1 - 0
AUT
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |