Germany U21 vs France U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1987 |
NED
3 - 1
GER
51%
23%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1987 |
GER
4 - 1
LUX
81%
12%
7%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
GER
2 - 0
BGR
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1986 |
DEN
0 - 0
GER
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1986 |
SCO
1 - 0
GER
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1987 |
NOR
1 - 2
FRA
39%
23%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1986 |
BRD
1 - 0
FRA
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1986 |
FRA
2 - 1
SUN
76%
15%
10%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
ESP
3 - 1
FRA
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
FRA
1 - 3
ESP
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |