Germany U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
ISL
1 - 3
GER
12%
19%
70%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
RUS
2 - 1
GER
38%
25%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
SCO
2 - 2
GER
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2003 |
IRL
2 - 2
GER
14%
20%
66%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
GER
3 - 2
SYM
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
SCO
2 - 2
GER
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
LTU
2 - 1
SCO
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 0
ISL
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ISL
0 - 2
SCO
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2001 |
SCO
1 - 0
LVA
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |