UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Germany U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1991 |
DEU
3 - 0
LUX
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1991 |
BEL
0 - 3
DEU
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
DEU
2 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1991 |
ENG
2 - 1
DEU
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1991 |
DEU
2 - 0
BGR
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1991 |
ROU
1 - 3
SCT
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1991 |
CHE
0 - 3
SCT
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1991 |
SCT
1 - 0
BGR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1990 |
BGR
2 - 0
SCT
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1990 |
SCT
4 - 2
CHE
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |