Germany U21 vs Cyprus U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2011 |
POR
4 - 2
GER
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
NED
1 - 3
GER
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GRC
0 - 0
GER
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
GER
2 - 0
ENG
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cyprus U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CYP
6 - 0
SMR
73%
16%
10%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CYP
0 - 0
IRL
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
PAE
0 - 0
CYP
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
CYP
1 - 0
MLT
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CYP
1 - 3
SRB
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |