Germany U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1985 |
SUI
0 - 0
GER
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
GER
1 - 1
ALB
69%
16%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1983 |
GER
7 - 0
TUR
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1983 |
GER
2 - 1
AUT
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1983 |
AUT
1 - 1
GER
41%
23%
36%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1983 |
YUG
0 - 0
BGR
32%
25%
44%
|
63 | 20 | 43 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
BGR
1 - 1
WAL
72%
16%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 2
BGR
44%
22%
34%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1983 |
WAL
0 - 1
BGR
39%
23%
38%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1982 |
BGR
0 - 2
YUG
75%
14%
10%
|
62 | 16 | 46 | 0 |