Germany U21 vs Belarus U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
GER
6 - 1
ARG
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
GER
1 - 0
GRC
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
CYP
0 - 3
GER
9%
17%
74%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GRC
4 - 5
GER
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
SMR
0 - 8
GER
8%
14%
79%
|
79 | 21 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 3
CYP
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
BLR
1 - 2
MNE
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
BIH
3 - 0
BLR
23%
22%
54%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 0
BLR
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
1 - 1
BLR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |