Germany U20 vs Poland U-20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
POL
0 - 2
GER
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
TUR
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
ENG
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 28 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U-20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
POL
0 - 2
GER
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
SUI
1 - 2
POL
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
ITA
38%
24%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |