Germany U20 vs Poland U-20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
4 - 3
GER
25%
25%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
GER
23%
23%
54%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GER
4 - 1
SUI
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GER
3 - 2
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
26%
23%
51%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U-20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
POL
2 - 1
SUI
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
CZE
1 - 2
POL
49%
23%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SUI
1 - 2
POL
43%
24%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
GER
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 1
POL
36%
25%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |