Germany U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
2 - 0
GER
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
GER
0 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GER
2 - 1
NOR
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CZE
2 - 2
GER
23%
22%
54%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
URU
1 - 0
ITA
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
KOR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 3
ITA
8%
17%
76%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |