Germany U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GER
1 - 0
ENG
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GER
2 - 1
NED
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
GER
1 - 0
TUR
67%
18%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
POL
2 - 1
GER
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GER
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SUI
0 - 0
ITA
20%
21%
60%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GER
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
GER
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
SUI
0 - 1
ITA
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |