Germany U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GER
0 - 3
ITA
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GER
3 - 2
SUI
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CZE
1 - 1
GER
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GER
0 - 3
ITA
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
5 - 0
IRN
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUI
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |