Germany U20 vs Iraq U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
CAN
0 - 4
GER
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BRA
2 - 0
GER
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
CRC
2 - 1
GER
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
NGA
2 - 0
GER
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1999 |
GER
4 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
IRQ
1 - 6
BRA
11%
20%
69%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
IRQ
3 - 0
CAN
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
IRQ
1 - 2
USA
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
IRQ
1 - 0
ARG
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1989 |
IRQ
2 - 0
ESP
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |